Making Predictions Probes Editable

About this resource

Everything inside: 25 pages · 6 original silent-reading passages, each stopping before the ending, with 24 questions · 6 equivalent probe forms · a shared answer-key and scoring page for all six forms · a data log and scaled trend graph · a caseload summary · a ready-to-send family update · a classroom teacher check-in (a second setting) · a 17-starter phrase bank · a binder cover and 4-section binder map · a worked, invented example.

The store had probes for comparing two things, a stated cause and effect, a main idea, and character traits/motivation, but nothing that measures whether a student can predict what happens next in a narrative using evidence actually stated in the text. This file hands the student six original, invented passages, each about 70–110 words, that stop before the resolution (a science fair fix, a field day mishap, a missing library book, a rained-out walk to a garden, a classroom pet's empty water dish, a missing recess ball) with nothing but the passage and four write-in questions on the page the student sees. Scoring, the rubric and the answer key live on separate adult-only pages, never in the student's hands. Because every passage was written so exactly one outcome is clearly implied by two separate, concrete clues (never a coin-flip between two equally defensible endings), the key page names and backs every accepted prediction, reason and evidence answer to that form's own passage, so a scorer can check any accepted answer against the text itself.

WHAT IS INCLUDED — 25 pages, 491 type-in fields

Prepare To Give The Probes

• Binder Cover and Section Map — a spine/cover card, a 4-box section reference (not a cutting page), and an 8-row "where to find things" index
• How This Pack Works — how the six forms share one rubric and one key page, plus a 3-row table comparing what each of the file's three tools measures
• Making Predictions Goal, Rubric and Directions — a sample IEP-style goal (invented, every bracket editable), a baseline table (median of the first three probes), a rubric defining correct/incorrect (an evidence answer counts only if it matches one of the key's two listed items), and a 2-row benchmark table

Take The Data

• Six Probe Forms (A–F) — each a clean, student-facing page: a "My name" line, one kid-worded instruction with a book icon, a passage that stops before the ending, and four numbered questions with a real four-line answer box each (1 question asking what will happen next, 1 asking the reason/problem behind it, 2 asking for a different piece of supporting text evidence each) — nothing scored, no goal text, no marks on this page
• Answer Keys and Scoring — one shared adult-only page with all six forms' accepted prediction, reason and evidence answers (a close paraphrase of the prediction/reason counts; each evidence answer is one of two closed, specific items named for that form; the two evidence answers accepted in either box) and a Score /4 field per form

Track, Report And Share

• Making Predictions Accuracy Data Log — 12 dated rows, one form per row
• Making Predictions Accuracy Trend Graph — a scaled 0–100% grid plus a 12-row log table
• Caseload Summary — 12 students by 8 probes, baseline and criterion percent, trend and decision columns
• Family Update — Reading at Home — a ready-to-send communication page: what was read, how it went in plain words, a practice idea, and a 7-day practiced table
• Classroom Comprehension Check-In — two half-page notes per sheet, cut apart: a checkbox, one sentence, no codes, for the general education teacher or paraprofessional during regular class reading (a different setting from the six probe forms)
• Progress Note Phrase Bank — 17 observable-language starters across 5 groups (prediction accuracy, evidence-citing accuracy, pattern across probes, next steps, the quarterly-report sentence), every one ending in a blank pulled from a data sheet in the file
• A Filled-In Probe Set and Log — a worked, invented example (Sofia M., fourth grade) with a 4-row weekly log and a 2-row answer-key excerpt, every number cross-checked against the arithmetic behind it

Plus a Start Here quick-start, a 3-section contents page with real page thumbnails, 3 section dividers, and a "what's next" back page.

What This Is, And What It Is Not

It is a fillable PDF. Open it in a PDF reader, click a field, type, save. It works offline with no account or subscription. It is NOT a Google Sheets file, a Google Doc, or an Excel workbook, and it does not calculate a percent for you. The six probe forms print cleanly for the student to write directly on.

It is not a norm-referenced or standardized reading test, and it is not a Lexile or grade-level placement tool. It does not set a passing criterion or sort a student into any category — that is a blank line for your team. It is not Compare and Contrast or Cause and Effect Reading Comprehension Probes, which score an answer stated outright in the text, and it is not Character Traits and Motivation Reading Comprehension Probes, which infers a trait from a character's actions; this file's prediction questions ask the student to name something the passage never states as its ending, checked instead against the one defensible outcome and two specific text details named on the key page.

No age, eligibility or IDEA-timeline claim anywhere; no health data is pre-filled, and the example student (Sofia) is invented and named as such on page 24.

Who This Is For

Special education teachers, reading interventionists and case managers who need making predictions measured with the student's own written answers and cited text evidence as the proof, scored from an answer key in under a minute a form.

If You Want More

Character Traits and Motivation Reading Comprehension Probes and Making Inferences Using Text Evidence Probes are the sibling comprehension-passage probes where the answer is never printed outright, the same discipline this file's prediction items use. Compare and Contrast Reading Comprehension Probes and Cause and Effect Reading Comprehension Probes round out the family with the six-form shape built for answers stated outright in the text.